PDA

View Full Version : My theory on the creatures-Prehistoric Mammoths-here's why..


pinnerman
09-25-04, 02:58 AM
This is just a theory, but I’ve read a lot of quotes and seen enough support material to give it some merit. Sounds crazy? Well I’ll go through all of the information and put in the links to the sources after each point is covered. So here we go (sorry so long).

First, let’s look at some quotes from the producers and actors and see what we can learn. I’ll start with what we all know already, from the Damon Lindelof Interview from this very website, we know it’s NOT a dinosaur:

And now one of the big questions (but not THE BIG question): What is that thing in the bushes? We know it's not a dinosaur. Was it always NOT a dinosaur? "JJ and I have always known what it was and we're VERY discriminating about who we tell, because that's one of the biggest secrets of the show. We know from the beginning it wasn't a dinosaur. If the network ever said anything about it to us it was more on the order of, 'Please tell us it's not a dinosaur.' And we're like, 'Ok, it's NOT a dinosaur!'

Nowhere in any quotes do the producers say the creatures on the island are not PREHISTORIC in nature, they just say they’re not dinosaurs.

Second, also from this website, Exec Producer David Fury made some comments on the island itself in the Sci-Fi Wire article titled “Lost’s Secrets Hinted”:

David Fury, co-executive producer of ABC's upcoming SF series Lost, told SCI FI Wire that one of the most mysterious characters on the new series about plane crash survivors stranded on a mysterious South Pacific island is the island itself. "It is very interesting and has its own mythology that will hopefully unfold over many seasons," Fury (Buffy the Vampire Slayer) said in an interview. "We are hearing and seeing very odd occurrences, like a polar bear on the island. How does something like that happen in the South Pacific?"

"This is not a show about the supernatural, despite the fact that we have a very huge creature that likes to eat people. Despite the surreal, bizarre aspects of the island, there will be an explanation for it. It may not come for a very long time, but certain information about the island will explain how things are possible. We'll try to root it in real science or real pseudo-science. There will be no mystical reason or an island of monsters. The island has been around for millennia, and many people have found themselves on it, and as far as we know, nobody has ever gotten off. There is also the possibility of others being on the island, they just haven't seen them yet. And we'll never know how big this island is. It could be enormous, but odd things will keep them from knowing the full length and breadth of it. It's an interesting little allegory. It will be very mysterious."

He hits on some key things here, first he touches on the polar bear, which is a key element in my theory that I’ll explain later. He also rules out “monsters” and sci-fi creatures with his “science or pseudo-science” comment. Another key phrase is his suggestion that the island has been around for “millennia” (which is a made up word), and probably means it’s been there for thousands of years, undisturbed like a roach motel in the Pacific. Stuff gets on the island, it doesn’t get off.

Third, from an AICN article where they interviewed Damon Lindelof, these were his comments on the creatures and when we’ll get some information on them:

AICN: You’re on record as saying there are no dinosaurs on the island. Will we get a look at one of the giant tree-stomping creatures within the first 13 hours broadcast?
DL: The record speaketh true. NO dinosaurs. Will you get a look at the "thing in the trees" in the first 13? I'll only say this -- maybe you'll see it, maybe you won't... but you'll definitely know much more ABOUT it.

www.aintitcool.com/display.cgi?id=18187 (http://www.aintitcool.com/display.cgi?id=18187)

Last, and most telling, were the quotes from a couple of the actors from Kristin Veitch’s article from E! Online titled “The Lure of Lost”. Matthew Fox and Dominic Monaghan give some information, and you know actors, they’re always dying to tell people what’s up, but they can’t, so they’ll walk the line as close as they can without crossing it:

The entire first season of Lost takes place in the span of only one month. And in the first ep, we learn the island is not what it seems--there's something, well, monstrous, living on it.
"I don't have any idea [what it is]," Foxy tells me when milked for spoilers, "and I don't even use the M-word for it, because I'm not sure it is a monster. I just know it's fast, and it does serious damage."
"All we know is it's something substantial," Dominic says. "We know it's bigger than an elephant--and clearly in a bad mood."

www.lostfansite.com/news-sept18b.html (http://www.lostfansite.com/news-sept18b.html)

And that’s when I figured it out, “bigger than an elephant” plus “prehistoric” equals WOOLLY MAMMOTH. Think about it in context with what we already know. (A) The creatures are large, and have a lot of mass, capable of moving trees in a frightening manor. (B) Elephants and mammoths leave very non-descript footprints because their weight is more evenly distributed. In dinosaur tracks, indentations are clearly left in the ground where the pressure from each step occurs-from the claws. Mammoth tracks wouldn’t stand out as much in dense vegetation. (C) The sound. Does anyone actually know what a dinosaur sounds like? NO. We all have the association of what we think they sound like from the Jurassic Park movies. All they did here was make the sound just familiar enough to where we know it’s something big. (D) The size is right. A mammoth would be big enough to make all that noise, but not tall enough to be seen clearly, it wouldn’t be seen over the treetops.

(E) Most importantly, it explains what happened to the airline pilot. We know the pilot was yanked out of the cockpit, which was high up. The trunk of a mammoth could easily have done this. It also explains why the guy was chewed up a bit, but not eaten. AND it explains how he ended up in a tree. Why was attacked? Probably something to do with the transmissions from the transceiver they were trying to use to call for help. Who knows what sounds and frequencies prehistoric creatures could hear. Maybe it enrages them, and every time they try to use it, the creatures will show up. Modern elephants hear in the infrasonic range and can communicate with each other over huge distances, check out this quote and the link to the research:

Thanks to Katy Payne...her discovery of infrasonic communication has opened the door to numerous implications about the social world of elephants.

Generally, "elephants hear and respond to each other's loud calls from distances as great as four kilometers away"(Payne P.121). This under normal conditions would mean elephants can communicate and hear a message within a fifty square kilometers range.
elephant.elehost.com/Abou...aring.html (http://elephant.elehost.com/About_Elephants/Senses/Hearing/hearing.html)

Also, if you're wondering about some of the sounds, check out the "ElephantVoices computer sounds" on this site. Here's the site:
www.elephantvoices.org/in...=resources (http://www.elephantvoices.org/index.php?topic=resources)

Here's the sound files:
www.elephantvoices.org/re...sounds.zip (http://www.elephantvoices.org/resources/elephantvoices_computersounds.zip)

Obviously, mammoths might have sounded a little different, but a couple of these sound very familiar. I think I remember watching something on the making of Jurassic Park where they covered which animal sounds they combined to make the T-Rex sound, and the elephant was one of them. Just something to think about.


So how did MAMMOTHS end up on the island? For that we have to look at the polar bear. If we assume that the polar bears exist there naturally and have been there for “millennia”, then that would mean they migrated there and crossed glacial masses to do so. Very believable, and it follows David Fury’s comments about having a basis in science. Since it’s been there for thousands of years, other creatures could have migrated there besides the bears. Do you want proof? Look at the history of the mammoths. They originated in Africa, then migrated to Europe, through Asia, and then crossed the land and ice to make it to North America. A prime example of migration between great distances.

Here’s a Discovery school link for quick proof: school.discovery.com/scho...amap.html# (http://school.discovery.com/schooladventures/woollymammoth/migramap.html#)

Want to know something else about mammoths? Ever hear of a place called WRANGEL ISLAND? Consider this: (The source is below.)

Woolly mammoths could not cope with the rapidly changing environment and increasing human predation toward the close of the last glaciation, and most became extinct about 11,000 years ago. However in 1993 came the startling announcement that dwarf woolly mammoths radiocarbon dated between 7,000 and 3,700 years ago lived on Wrangel Island. So while the pyramids and Stonehenge were being built in Egypt and England respectively, dwarf mammoths roamed the relic mammoth steppe on this small island off the coast of northeastern Siberia!

www.crystalinks.com/wooleyanimals.html (http://www.crystalinks.com/wooleyanimals.html)

Scientific fact: A group of mammoths, once thought to be extinct 11,000 years ago, migrated to an ISLAND (key word, island) where they continued to flourish and evolve for another 7000 years. And we as humans just figured this out 11 years ago. One of the two theories regarding the extinction of mammoths is that they died from disease. If another group migrated to a different location and were later isolated, they could have survived indefinitely (for the purpose of the show) if they had a livable environment. Historically, mammoths were very good at adapting to their environments, which explains their survival and adaptability into the ice ages. Here’s another link on the Wrangel Island find.

packrat.aml.arizona.edu/J...anyan.html (http://packrat.aml.arizona.edu/Journal/v37n1/vartanyan.html)

So why is this significant? What’s the link to the polar bears? Guess what animal is extremely prevalent on Wrangel Island? You guessed it – polar bears. Take a look at this website and you’ll see what I mean.

Since 1995, Polar Bears International has provided annual funding to allow research to continue on Wrangel Island in Russia's High Arctic. The island is well known for its large concentrations of polar bears and supports the highest density of polar bear dens in the world.

www.polarbearsalive.org/wrangel.php (http://www.polarbearsalive.org/wrangel.php)

So there you have it. If it’s possible for polar bears to have made it to and survived on this island, than a form of mammoth could have migrated there as well. Throw in shifting land masses and the end of the ice age which isolated them on this island (if it is an island, the producers won’t say how big it is and we won’t know anytime soon), and you have one possible explanation for what those creatures are. They may not even be “woolly”, they may have evolved into something different. The mammoths from Asia weren’t really wooly at all, they had more in common with modern elephants. Feel free to agree, disagree, or look up evidence to support or dispute my theory. For me, this is the only thing that makes sense with what we know so far.

If you took the time to read all this, than please post a reply with your thoughts.

Thanks, Pinnerman in Berkley, MI

One last fun link, this will allow you to look at map grids between Australia and North America and see satellite imagery of all the islands that exist in the Pacific. Very interesting.

eol.jsc.nasa.gov/sseop/Cl...efault.htm (http://eol.jsc.nasa.gov/sseop/Clickmap/default.htm)


Addendum
I found a couple more bits of information on mammoths and the Ice Age. This first link shows that mammoth remains were found as far south as Japan:

www.emory.edu/HISTORY/RAV...e_map.html (http://www.emory.edu/HISTORY/RAVINA/Multimedia_textbook/Maps/Ice_age_map.html)

The second map shows ice coverage in Southeast Asia from 20,000 years ago from a PBS NOVA special website:

www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/vinson/ice-13.html (http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/vinson/ice-13.html)

If you click on "Back to Intro", it will take you to the rest of the site. The map they show has ice coverage as far south as Indonesia and Malaysia - that's all the way down to and past the equator, well south of the boundaries of the tropic of cancer.

Last, here's a couple maps of the world. The first shows underlying ridges and land masses that are under water now, but could have been above water at some point, or possibly formed ice bridges during the last Ice Age. (download the pdf image)

www.cia.gov/cia/publicati...world.html (http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/reference_maps/physical_world.html)

Zoom in and take a look at the Nampo Shoto ridge that emanates southwest from Japan and runs all the down to the present day islands of Guam and Saipan. If that ridge was ever above water or frozen over, then migration to those islands would have been possible. Since we know that mammoths existed in Japan, it places them pretty close. Also, Guam is about 1500 miles away from Fiji, so if they had flown north of Fiji and were by the Marshall Islands, and then went 1000 miles, but in the wrong direction (the pilot said they tried to turn back to Fiji), if they went back to the west instead of southwest, it would put them right in the vicinity of Guam. I'm not saying that's definitely where they are, but it connects everything and is possible.

The second map is of current world geography with time zones. The width of each grid box is 1000 miles.

www.maps-continents.com/time-zones.htm (http://www.maps-continents.com/time-zones.htm)

If this helps any of you form your own theories about the possible location of the island based on the flight plan comments from the pilot, please post your information in here. Thanks.

ReyvnDarKnight
09-25-04, 04:16 AM
Well, the Mammoth theory seems certainly plausible. And to be honest, I would much prefer the Mammoth to my theory because that would mean JJ is re-treading an old convention. I would like this show and the elements of it to be new and refreashing.

pinnerman
09-25-04, 04:23 AM
Thanks for your response. My theory makes sense from a budget standpoint too. The producers are probably already spending a boatload on production costs for this show- it shoots in Hawaii, there's a big cast, lots of logistics that add up. They probably don't have the budget to do a CGI based prehistoric creature right away. So they went the John Carpenter route for most of the first season, keep the creatures shrouded in darkness and out of focus, they're doing the "theater of the mind" thing with the audience. Then, once they know the series is picked up, they can slowly start to work effects shots into the show and the budget. CGI is not as expensive as it used to be, and there's all kinds of existing 3-D models of mammoths available from Discovery Channel shows and other places. It sounds like even if they had the budget for it, the producers still wanted the creatures to act as part of the story, but not be a focal point early on. They want people to see the creatures as a support mechanism for all the theories that are being thrown around out there, you know, the "manifestation of fears" theory and the "mechanical" theory. I think it's more likely that what I'm suggesting is closer to the truth. This island has a lot of secrets, and if this show takes off like we all think it will, they'll have plenty of time to let things develop...slowly.

JacksGirlfriend
09-25-04, 06:55 AM
I love mammoths and they're not so far in the past they couldn't possibly exist now. But I don't think they have anything to do with this show. At least I hope not.

Bongo Fury
09-25-04, 12:13 PM
Sorry to piss in your Ovaltine, but I suppose you wouldn't have proffered your opinion if you didn't want people to shoot holes in it.

"... despite the fact that we have a very huge creature that likes to eat people..."
Mammoths were not carnivorous. And it's doubtful they evolved into carnivores on the island since they are large and ponderous and unlikely to be able to chase down other animals with any regularity.

Pacific islands are volcanic in origin. As such there would be no 'land bridge' for mammoths to get to these islands. And unlike Wrangle Island they are hundreds or thousands of miles from other land masses.

pinnerman
09-25-04, 01:00 PM
Like I said in the post, I think the "eat people" thing is misdirection. They don't want these things to be the focal point of the show and there's weeks where we won't even see them. Plus, did the pilot get eaten? NO. Any normal carnivore, whatever it is, would've chewed the guy up and carried him off. That didn't happen, which lends more credibility to my theory. These things are big and dangerous and can kill you if they're pissed off, but it may be in response to noise or intrusion into their territorial boundaries.

And my theory for the mammoths being there is BASED on the FACT that the polar bears are there now, and we KNOW that. All I'm saying is if the polar bear got there somehow, there's a chance other animals found a way onto the island too. There are other ways this could have happened, the migration is one possible explanation.

Suil Liath
09-25-04, 01:56 PM
No island bridge, plus the habitat is all wrong. If mammoths died out not that long ago, in geologic terms, the species might not have survived. Mutations are exactly that -- accidents. Suppose they did make to this island. If none of them had the "survive in tropical paradise" mutation, they would have died out.

Mammoths also don't eat people.

.

pinnerman
09-25-04, 02:16 PM
Again, you're not READING my post, you're just reacting, and you're obviously not looking at the support articles. Mammoths originated in Africa in normal climates. Do you thinks there's a cold climate in Africa? No. The mammoths that migrated all the way to North America and became "woolly" did so to adapt to the cold through the ice ages, they were fairly good at surviving and adapting to new environments. Does a polar bear have to have a "tropical survivability mutation" to live on an island? Not that I'm aware of. I suppose the polars bears I see at the Zoo in the summer when its 90 degrees are some super-genetically-engineered bears. Cold climate animals can adjust to warmer temperatures, but not necessarily the other way around.

BASIC CONSTRUCT OF MY THEORY - I'LL SUMMERIZE IT FOR EVERYONE - IF A POLAR BEAR CAN BE THERE, OTHER ANIMALS FROM FAR AWAY OR DIFFERENT CLIMATES COULD BE THERE TOO. Migration is one possible theory for how they got there, there could be others. If you're going to respond to this, please read the thing first. And again, THEY HAVEN'T EATEN ANY PEOPLE AS OF YET. It's probably misdirection from the producers to increase the buzz on the creatures, whatever they are.

Bongo Fury
09-25-04, 02:42 PM
If you're going to cherry pick from the quotes what is fact and what is misdirection you could prove almost anything. It could even be dinosaurs by your logic.

Everything I have read speaks of 'A' polar bear, nothing of polar bears, plural. And polar bears are accomplished swimmers. But if we assume that the 'Lost' island is in the south Pacific (logical for an Australia to LA flight) that makes it very hard for a Polar bear to get there from the Arctic thousands of miles to the north (no polar bears in the Antarctic). So the logical conclusion is that the polar bear in our story was a shipwreck victim just like the humans.

I find the mammoth idea unbelievable. It just requires too much of a stretch to make it work. And we have been told (if you believe the quotes) that everything is based in real or pseudo science. I could believe it's a shipwrecked elephant, from the same source as the polar bear. But a mammoth seems too incredible. But even if it was an elephant, it would need to be one of exceptional proportions to snatch the pilot from the nose of the inclined front section of the plane. Hence your assertion of a mammoth. But a mammoth adapted to the tropical jungles of the island would be a smaller elephant, like an Indian elephant or a Burmese elephant (or the dwarf mammoths from your Siberian island example). Not the much larger elephants from the African plains.

Suil Liath
09-25-04, 03:05 PM
Adaptation is not guaranteed. That's why species become extinct. No need to dumb it down or become hostile.

Hostility will not be tolerated on this board. This discussion can be had in a polite manner. .

pinnerman
09-25-04, 03:11 PM
I see your point, but the one thing the producers had to guarantee the network was that the creatures WERE NOT dinosaurs, so I'm not stretching anything here. They want you to be afraid of the concept, but until I see a money shot of one of these things pulling rib meat off a dead human, I'm not buying that it's a carnivore.

As far as the island being in the South Pacific, all that means is it's in the Pacific Ocean somewhere, and its south of the equator. If you look at the NASA map I provided, you'll see they could have gone pretty far north and still not have crossed the equator. They could have ended up due north near Guam or a little to the east by Micronesia. Either way, it would put them within striking distance of Southeast Asia. Not that far away from where mammoths flourished at one point. Again, the migration idea is a theory BASED in science. It may not be how they got there, but if a polar bear can be there, so could another animal. I don't know of many cultures historically that had thriving polar bear trading industries. Most humans that were indigenous to where polar bears lived hunted other things that were easier sources of food, like whales and fish. So unless it was a Zoo transport ship or Noah's freaking ark (God I hope that's not it), the boat crash idea doesn't make that much sense.

pinnerman
09-25-04, 03:21 PM
Suil Liath - My intent was not to be disrespectful or hostile to you, so I revised that post. It's just that some people are posting counterpoints that are already covered in my post and the support materials. Adaptability is never guaranteed, but it occurs quite often in nature. This seems more likely to me than the "mechanical" or "fear manifestation" concepts that are floating around. Again, people are free to agree or disagree or put up alternative theories. Thanks for your response.

Suil Liath
09-25-04, 03:25 PM
Damon has also said that what goes on on the island is grounded in reality. Whatever that means.

Mammoths doesn't work for me because I dont see them yanking a guy out of the airplane and peeling off his face.

You can also extrapolote where the island MIGHT be by how long they were in the air before the pilot noticed there was a problem -- 4-6 hours. Times how fast a plane flies at 37,000 feet.Plane left from Sydney, pilot turned back to Fiji, etc. etc.

Even so, my feeling is that these guys (JJ, Damon and co), have come up with something NO ONE has thought of.

-Kit-

pinnerman
09-25-04, 03:37 PM
Suil Liath- Yeah, the reality thing is what I picked up on too. That's why I'm thinking it's some animal that actually exists, now or in the past, because that would be based on historical fact, and that's a scientific possibility. I don't doubt that they have something very cool in store for us, and I reserve the right to change or modify my theory as new information comes available. For me, I thinks it's something along the lines of an animal. I'm still looking at other species, the mammoth was the first one that fit with what we know right now.

Suil Liath
09-25-04, 03:41 PM
I WAS thinking animal, but the sound it made was very metallic......could just be my speakers

pinnerman
09-25-04, 04:11 PM
Sounds = Tusks rubbing against trees? Take a look at what the tusks on these things were like. Just moving through the jungle would cause massive movements. These things could knock a tree down from ten feet away because it's tusks are so long, and you wouldn't even see the body of it.

wanderingjacob.com/serend...ammoth.jpg (http://wanderingjacob.com/serendipity/pictures/100602/mammoth.jpg)

Also, I updated my post with this expanded look at the hearing and sounds of modern elephants, decendents of mammoths. There's some sound files that are very interesting. For those of you who don't want to have to look for the new info, here it is:

Most importantly, it explains what happened to the airline pilot. We know the pilot was yanked out of the cockpit, which was high up. The trunk of a mammoth could easily have done this. It also explains why the guy was chewed up a bit, but not eaten. AND it explains how he ended up in a tree. Why was attacked? Probably something to do with the transmissions from the transceiver they were trying to use to call for help. Who knows what sounds and frequencies prehistoric creatures could hear. Maybe it enrages them, and every time they try to use it, the creatures will show up. Modern elephants hear in the infrasonic range and can communicate with each other over huge distances, check out this quote and the link to the research:

Thanks to Katy Payne...her discovery of infrasonic communication has opened the door to numerous implications about the social world of elephants.

Generally, "elephants hear and respond to each other's loud calls from distances as great as four kilometers away"(Payne P.121). This under normal conditions would mean elephants can communicate and hear a message within a fifty square kilometers range.
elephant.elehost.com/Abou...aring.html (http://elephant.elehost.com/About_Elephants/Senses/Hearing/hearing.html)

Also, if you're wondering about some of the sounds, check out the "ElephantVoices computer sounds" on this site. Here's the site:
www.elephantvoices.org/in...=resources (http://www.elephantvoices.org/index.php?topic=resources)

Here's the sound files:
www.elephantvoices.org/re...sounds.zip (http://www.elephantvoices.org/resources/elephantvoices_computersounds.zip)

Obviously, mammoths might have sounded a little different, but a couple of these sound very familiar. I think I remember watching something on the making of Jurassic Park where they covered which animal sounds they combined to make the T-Rex sound, and the elephant was one of them. Just something to think about.

klemrick
09-25-04, 11:10 PM
Well I must say you have a very interesting Theory. It will be fun to see how this show plays out and what clues we will be given in the future.
I love how you went to such great lengths to show your point. Want to write my next thesis paper? j/k :)

TechnoChickenBone
09-26-04, 12:56 AM
Wow, very thorough, more so than any other theory on the creature(s). I do agree that whatever it is is most likely not a predator, as the pilot was just mangled as if sustaining heavy trauma, but not broken apart or noticably bitten. Were it a predator, it would have tried to get to the people in the cockpit area of the plane before, as well, most likely, since predators generally resort to scavenging before actively hunting.

yawndave
09-26-04, 01:05 AM
One thing's for sure: if they ARE Mammoths, it won't be long before someone stumbles into a huge, smelly pile...:lol

kimjoy85
09-26-04, 05:16 AM
Uhm, since when is millenia a "made up word"? Was that ajoke that I didnt pick up on? Because Ir emember that little thing called the millenium that happened about 4 years ago..

dictionary.reference.com/...=millennia (http://dictionary.reference.com/search?r=2&q=millennia)

TechnoChickenBone
09-26-04, 05:48 AM
I think the implication is that the word "millenia" was just chosen as a way of saying that the island has been there before and isn't something new, and not that the use of the word "millenia" has any specific meaning in the context it was used.

Suil Liath
09-26-04, 06:06 AM
It still doesn't explain why a mammoth would yank the pilot out in the first place. (going forward with the mammoth theory). Do we assume that they behave the same way as modern elephants? The females band together and the males are off by their onesies waiting for the come hither. Would a modern elephant yank a guy out of an overturned Land Rover?

I'm just askin' here.

-Kit-

pinnerman
09-26-04, 06:48 AM
Like I mentioned in my update, maybe the transceiver emits something that bothers them, and that's why the creature attacked the pilot - it localized the sound that was coming from the cockpit and responded aggressively. Modern elephants are capable of infrasonic hearing, whatever is on the island could have evolved differently and have different hearing. As I suggested earlier, when the pilot was operating the radio, the creature showed up, and we saw definite shadows inside the plane, meaning this thing is big. There could be a correlation between the transceiver and the creatures, but I wouldn't assume they behave the same way as modern elephants.

That's the beauty of dealing with artistic license, the producers could have come up with an evolutionary extrapolation of a mammoth with unique characteristics that fit this situation. That's what I think is going on. It's not going to be a run-of-the-mill mastodon or woolly mammoth, it will be an original concept based on the history of mammoth paleontology, and something we haven't seen before. But it still will be based in science, and thus fit the parameters the producers have admitted they're working in.

TechnoChickenBone
09-26-04, 07:40 AM
-----------------------Would a modern elephant yank a guy out of an overturned Land Rover? -----------------------

If memory serves, I've heard that elephants can get pretty defensive if they feel threatened. Also, when they're forced to live in smaller areas, they're more likely to be territorial about their habitats.

Suil Liath
09-26-04, 01:45 PM
Ok, let's think about this. Something HUGE would have decimated the forest a long time ago and extincted itself. Therefore, assuming some heffalumps made it to Kong Island, and assuming there was a "small" gene that mutated. the smaller heffalumps would be the successful ones -- able to move through the jungle without smashing it down and destroying a food source. Yes I know rain forest grows very quickly. But if you had a sizeable herd -- and they'd be at the top of the "food chain" too, with nothing to hunt them. Nothing would stop the growth of the herd except death by disease or malnutrition --- it's likely anything sizeable would be it's own worst enemy.

But jungle is VERY poor nutrition -- the soil is very acidic due to high rainfall and partially decomposed vegetation. And there is a lack of sunshine on the floor for things to grow.

Consider the size of things that routinely live in jungles. not that big.

Versus the size of things that live on savannahs. Big.

So now we have two mututations that have to occur: size and the ability to digest a different form of plant life.

Supposedly, the heffalumps that Hannibal used in his attempted assault on Rome were forest elephants, which are now extinct. They were smaller than yer standard elephant. Supposedly.

So we do have SOME proof that small heffalumps live in forests.

Size DOES matter. The BLT (big loud thing, not bacon lettuce and tomato) was tall enough to pull the pilot out from a certain height. It had a certain gargantuan quality, to quote Charlie.

Thoughts?

-Kit-

very lost indeed
09-26-04, 04:02 PM
Kit,

I agree. The BLT has to be, well, something (and not a sandwich). This thing has to be enormous to pull a pilot ABOVE the already raised cockpit and dump him in a two/three story tree. This "thing", "monster", whatever you want to call it, has to be gargauntuan.

From what I've seen, we all are just to curious to find out what this thing is. I agree, I'm dying to know. All we can say for certain is that it's not some Jurassic Park island overrun with dinos. The point is, we can arouse these mammoth or manifestation theories, but WE JUST DON'T KNOW. Nobody knows. (Maybe not even JJ...) No reason to argue over it. I may have my opinion, and others may have thiers. At this stage in the show, no one is right, and no one is wrong.

With that said, this thing, for all we know so far, has to be huge. And nothing in the present, natural animal world can get that BIG. It just can't. Correct me if I'm wrong, and I don't mean to scorn anyone. Yes, it could be a mammoth, and I might be losing my bonkers. But, who knows?

Does anyone?

Suil Liath
09-26-04, 09:34 PM
Whatever it is, I get the feeling it knows what people are. Either because it eats them or just plain doesn't like them.

-Kit-

pinnerman
09-27-04, 03:44 AM
Addendum
I found a couple more bits of information on mammoths and the Ice Age. This first link shows that mammoth remains were found as far south as Japan:

www.emory.edu/HISTORY/RAV...e_map.html (http://www.emory.edu/HISTORY/RAVINA/Multimedia_textbook/Maps/Ice_age_map.html)

The second map shows ice coverage in Southeast Asia from 20,000 years ago from a PBS NOVA special website:

www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/vinson/ice-13.html (http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/vinson/ice-13.html)

If you click on "Back to Intro", it will take you to the rest of the site. The map they show has ice coverage as far south as Indonesia and Malaysia - that's all the way down to and past the equator, well south of the boundaries of the tropic of cancer.

Last, here's a couple maps of the world. The first shows underlying ridges and land masses that are under water now, but could have been above water at some point, or possibly formed ice bridges during the last Ice Age. (download the pdf image)

www.cia.gov/cia/publicati...world.html (http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/reference_maps/physical_world.html)

Zoom in and take a look at the Nampo Shoto ridge that emanates southwest from Japan and runs all the down to the present day islands of Guam and Saipan. If that ridge was ever above water or frozen over, then migration to those islands would have been possible. Since we know that mammoths existed in Japan, it places them pretty close. Also, Guam is about 1500 miles away from Fiji, so if they had flown north of Fiji and were by the Marshall Islands, and then went 1000 miles, but in the wrong direction (the pilot said they tried to turn back to Fiji), if they went back to the west instead of southwest, it would put them right in the vicinity of Guam. I'm not saying that's definitely where they are, but it connects everything and is possible.

The second map is of current world geography with time zones. The width of each grid box is 1000 miles.

www.maps-continents.com/time-zones.htm (http://www.maps-continents.com/time-zones.htm)

If this helps any of you form your own theories about the possible location of the island based on the flight plan comments from the pilot, please post your information in here. Thanks.

JacksGirlfriend
09-27-04, 10:29 AM
I don't know what size island they're on, but I'm thinking it's not that big in the scheme of things, at least not large enough to support a BLT and all its friends and relatives. However, it might be large enough to support an aquatic based creature, similar to our marine mammals of today. I'm not talking whales and dolphins that need to stay in the water. I'm talking more along the lines of walruses, polar bears and seals that prefer the water but must come ashore to breed, etc. and although they do eat on land, their primary food source is found in the sea. The sea would have plenty of food.

If the island was used for breeding purposes, it would explain how they can sustain themselves for small periods of time and would give a reason for their incessant need to take care of threat. Also it might explain why they're constantly "herding" the people toward the beach. They may feel the "children" are in need of a little guidance. Maybe the pilot was yanked out of the plane because he was not where he was supposed to be and was put in the tree to get him out of the way while the grownups took care of rounding up the rest of the wayward kids.

It's 6:30 in the morning here so maybe I'm not quite awake but this theory just kind of popped up. I'm not saying they're seals, walruses or polar bears. Just another form of marine mammal - perhaps one we've never seen.

Suil Liath
09-27-04, 01:26 PM
If the island is at all interesting, one wonders if the Polynesians ever found it and if not, why not. Or if they did, why they didn't stay.

Bongo Fury
09-27-04, 01:27 PM
The more I think about it, the less I find the Mammoth theory plausible.

If the Mammoth was enraged by the signal from the transceiver, it would have attacked the nose section of the airplane. Unless it was able to see the pilot sticking his head out of the top. In order to do that the eye level of the mammoth would need to be 40-50 feet above the ground. That means a Mammoth of immense proportions.

If these Mammoths got to the island 20,000 years ago on some land/ice bridge they would need to be there in sufficient numbers to sustain a viable breeding population. I'd guess this would need to be at least 100 individuals minimum to prevent genetic problems from in breeding. Given 100 40' mammoths wandering around the island for 20k years, they would have had pronounced effects on the terrain, like distinct trails, and/or significant deforestation. Especially if you factor in the notoriously inefficient digestive systems of pachyderms and the consequent amount of vegetation each individual would need to consume daily.

And given 20k years of evolution for these mammoths on the island, everything we have seen elsewhere on the planet suggests that jungle pachyderms evolve as smaller specimens than those who evolve on the open plains. Witness the differences between African elephants and those found in India or Burma.

CosmoZero
09-27-04, 06:43 PM
Maybe a Noah's ark of sorts landed on the island long time ago...possibly with some animals that we no longer have on populated islands. In a future episode then stumble through a jungle and Boom!! there it is...a lost ark. j/k

Mammoth....give me a break...such a lame guess, nothing points to it...a bad guess at that. Mammoths were big, but not that big nor that quick. Get a grip.

I'm telling ya'll...it's trees!! then held Charlies foot and snagged the pilot too...

Oh, and nobody is in on it...nobody would risk a plane crash to get there.

Kpretzer
09-28-04, 03:40 AM
Not mammoths. The idea just doesn't have enough pizzazz to be used.

Sorry. It just doesn't.

Keith:\

MsAllegro
09-28-04, 03:52 AM
Incidentally, why are we thinking of the GargantuBeast as "eating" people? Clearly, it left most of the edible parts of the pilot alone. It just killed him, it didn't consume him.

Suil Liath
09-28-04, 06:27 AM
This is true -- it just looked like his face was peeled off. Just sorta wrecked up.

-Kit-

bangnawt
09-28-04, 12:59 PM
i thought in one scene the youngboy was suppose to be reading a comic book of the green lantern with a big white polar bear on the cover, then later, we see the polar bear attacking people.

i believe the island manifests your fears. thus would explain the pilots death. he was afraid something he feared was outside of that plane. thus, it attacked him and killed him. now that he's dead, the creature no longer exists.

no mammoth. ever.

pinnerman
09-28-04, 02:30 PM
bangnawt - No "Fear Manifestation" stuff. ever. You know why? Because the producers of the show have said, and there's quotes in my post (which you obviously didn't read) that show they are not going to do anything supernatural or psychological. It's going to be based in science or pseudo-science. No "fears coming to life" or "trees coming to life" garbage. Did you people ever go to a science class when you were in school? I don't remember having to take "Paranoia and Psych Disorders 101" or "Lab Studies of Attacking Bamboo Trees" to graduate.

I'm not saying I'm right either, but they've said what it isn't going to be, and it isn't going to be that. They probably put the comic book-foreshadowing thing in there just so all the Stephen King fans would go off on it like they have. It's misinformation people, J.J. Abrams works with conspiracies a lot on Alias, and a couple key components of conspiracies are misinformation and misdirection. Whatever it will be, it will be something new, not recycled.

bangnawt
09-28-04, 05:01 PM
i kinda figured that 'no mammoth. ever' comment would just erk you to no end.

i'm tired of this already. point is. you and i or anyone on this board is not a writer/creator of 'lost'.

no i didn't read your entire post. it got tired of your explanation a few lines down into it. don't compare this show
to alias because creators of something great never repeat themselves. this is not alias. it's a waste of time to compare alias to lost. two different projects. two different writers/creators on the show lost. the show doesn't belong to the 'jj'. it's two writers/creators. read that aicn news article if you need to. again. i'm done with this.

oh wait- if it does turn out to be mammoth. then i'll remember you and this post.

and if isn't a mammoth.. i'll just laugh and definitely remember you and this fantastic post!

pinnerman
09-28-04, 05:12 PM
bangnawt - I figured as much. What you didn't read is that all of that information is there as possible support for that one theory. I'm not closed minded, in fact, I'm posting theory number 2 very shortly, and it kind of contradicts my mammoth theory. It will be different and open-ended and based on new information. That one might be more suited for you.

Woodnymph12
09-28-04, 10:50 PM
Oh what a fun thread!!

First off, I don't think knowing what the creature is will tell us much about where the island is.

First consider which animals can evolve on islands: non-flying land mammals cannot natually occur on remote, volcanic oceanic islands, like Hawaii. They cannot survive travel across vast oceans without help from humans. (Wild boars in Hawaii and many other Pacific islands were introdued by humans, and are not native).

Some land mammals can naturally disperse to volcanic islands that were never attached to the mainland via land bridges, but only if these islands are not too remote. Some of the best known 'island-hopping' mammals are indeed elephants. (Relatives of elephants are known to have crossed the Sunda strait from Asia to Australasia and occurred on many Indonesian islands. In fact, the Komodo Dragon is hypothesized to have evolved it's large size on a diet of pygmy elephants!)

If our mystery-creature actually evolved on a remote tropical island, science would predict that it is a very large lizard or (now-flightless) bird, whose ancestors could cross oceans, and not a mammal. Though remote islands are known for evolving 'giant' versions of normally-smaller animals which fill the empty niches of large mammals, their size would still be limited by food supplies, and they wouldn't evolve to be any bigger than they 'needed' to be.

All this talk of what can naturally evolve on an island, though, is sort of moot since we've already seen the polar bear-- an animal clearly out of place! A polar bear transported by humans to an island could hypothetically survive there (eating fish and seals), though such a creature would never have evolved there in such a form.

So as much as I love discussing the evolution of life on islands, I believe we are dealing with an animal introduced by humans, and/or subject to some supernatural sort of transformation that makes it unnaturally huge. Displaced animals are notoriously ill-tempered, so that would fit with the theory of why an angry vegetarian (mammoth, etc.) would maul the pilot!. And I could also see the writers potentially using the history of atomic testing in the Pacific to make the island a laboratory for huge, mutant animals of some sort...

pinnerman
09-28-04, 11:08 PM
I'm agreeing with you on most of that and I'm posting some updated information on the island very shortly. I'm researching the whole nuclear testing thing right now, so I'll let you know what I come up with. But look for my updated theory shortly in a new post.

JacksGirlfriend
09-29-04, 11:29 AM
Please... no. Anything but nuclear testing... And I'm curious... Pinnerman, what do you do for a living? Or are you a student?

pinnerman
09-29-04, 12:24 PM
Not a student, communications sales. And I sometimes spend the night in a Holiday Inn Express, which makes me smarter.

By the way, Theory #2 is up, its the MUST READ post based on new information. Check it out.

JacksGirlfriend
09-29-04, 04:31 PM
I read your new theory early this morning but since I didn't read it at a Holiday Inn Express some it probably went over my head.

I did however notice the concept of time - which brings up my earlier theory (nowhere near as thoroughly researched as yours because all my ideas come straight out of my butt). It they went through a rip in time and space, other things may have experienced the same thing and landed there as well. And that may have been happening for thousands and thousands and thousands of years.

All in all, the thrill of the show will be how they deal with what they learn week by week.

pinnerman
09-29-04, 05:49 PM
Agreed, it's probably going to be a slow and agonizing ride while we wait for clues about the island from week to week. That's one of the things that just kills me about 24, the way they leave it every week when the clock hits :59:59, I'm always wanting the next episode to start right away. I think they're going for the same thing here, mini-cliffhangers every week. Oh man.

JacksGirlfriend
09-29-04, 10:55 PM
I don't mind waiting for the cliffhanger. I need something interesting to watch now that Buffy and Angel are off the air and I suspect this is going to be right up my alley. Conflict, suspense, an intriguing island, back stories on interesting and mysterious people, myth, legend, the possibilities are endless.

I think I'm in for the long haul.

Wally Woot Lost
10-03-04, 09:18 PM
Mammoth Theory: CANNOT BE REAL!!!!!!
Reason: Because, there would be huge piles of CRAP EVERWHERE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! and, why would a mammoth attack people for no reason???? ANNNNDDDDDDD how would a mammoth reach 20'+ feet to put a guy in a tree? no, i think it was a cougar/lion/jaguar/other type of cat, cause it could get to the plane top, and it would eat the pilot, and not all of him, and it would put him(maybe) at the top of a tree.

AFG
10-04-04, 12:04 AM
What an intriguing and well thought out theory…

As I recall the automated distress call they discovered at the close of the show was about 16 years old which would make the approximate year that it was initiated around 1990? I point this out because around that same time all the science magazines, Omni, Science Digest… etc. were running articles about how technology had progressed to the point where it might be possible to re-grow a Mammoth. I definitely remember that a Japanese scientist was at the forefront of the research but a Frenchman might also have been involved. Hence the French language on the distress call.

I think you’re really onto something here.

As for giant mounds of Woolly Mammoth Poo… Have you ever been in a jungle? You could walk right past one and not notice it.

As for Cougars, Lions and Jaguars… If they’re big enough to bend over 40-foot palm trees in your part of the world, I NEVER want to visit you… Further more if they ARE big enough to bend over 40-foot palm trees, a six-foot tall pilot would hardly be a mouth full and NOTHING of him would remain to be placed up in branches.

Abraxas
10-04-04, 12:09 AM
You walked past mammoth poo??
Where?
:b

yung23
10-04-04, 03:41 AM
I just followed a pinnerman link... I know believe the plane went down somewhere in french polynesia...

its mammoths... either cloned or kept alive by natural reproduction... which means more of them...

pinnerman
10-04-04, 03:50 AM
www.findarticles.com/p/ar...i_72868718 (http://www.findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m1590/is_12_57/ai_72868718)

Here's an article on the cloning tests on mammoths that didn't work.

djshiva
10-04-04, 08:09 AM
or the polar bear (and subsequently the "eatmesaurus" as sleestack has named the unknown big element) were PUT there somehow...

Colonel Sanders luvs Lost
10-14-04, 12:04 PM
Here's a site that describes Mammoths that were native to tropical climates.

www.prin.edu/mammoth/mammothfacts.htm (http://www.prin.edu/mammoth/mammothfacts.htm)

akg
10-14-04, 02:00 PM
ive said in other threads, but i think the fact that they show the trees moving and they show roughly where the "monster" is and we dont actually see anything, is enough to tell that its not a mammoth.
somebody, whether one of us watching on tv, or one of the characters would have to have seen a gigantic mammoth walking around. i think its got to be something more sleek.

i think the polar bear is interesting to look at, but also try to work the boars into a theory. they woudlnt have put them in the show only as a food source. they have to be more meaningful than that

azteclady
10-14-04, 03:46 PM
akg,

What about natural camouflage? Many large animals become virtually invisible in their natural habitats, and if this species has had the time to evolve and adapt to the island *shrug*

Just a thought.

Beto

Dmcquickly
10-14-04, 06:18 PM
It's interesting to see the posts on this board. We seem to be floating into several different approaches to the show.

Some people seem primarily interested in the explanation of the island. Others seem interested mostly in how the characters will develop as they struggle to survive. Still others seem focused on some explanation of why they are there.

It's all very interesting, if a little fractured! I think this message board is its own world, quite apart from the show. (Sort of like the people on the island...)

jynnantonix
10-14-04, 06:30 PM
"This is not a show about the supernatural, despite the fact that we have a very huge creature that likes to eat people."

Direct quote from producers. So, it does like to eat people. Sorry.

Also, I know it's nitpicking, but "millennia" is not "a made up word"

Main Entry: mil·len·ni·um
Pronunciation: m&-'le-nE-&m
Function: noun
Inflected Form(s): plural mil·len·nia

(from www.m-w.com)

RuffRuder
10-15-04, 05:06 AM
Your theory on the Mammoth would be right on with the exception of the French message that was heard on the transceiver. It supposedly translates to "Please help me, I am alone, it has killed everyone..." Though you have a great theory that is logical there is still that one fact that what ever it is it kills according to the message on the transceiver.

JacksGirlfriend
10-15-04, 11:05 PM
RuffRuder: There could be lots of different things capable of killing on the island, including humans.

JacksGirl

yung23
10-15-04, 11:16 PM
Male elephant have killed humans before, they can get very mad, and they remember everything, including smells.. now picture the mammoth, mad. Somehow, Locke soothed the beast. Maybe his heart hate, they have pretty good hearing too. Sorry, I wont give up the mammoth thing, not till we get a bigger hint.. I"ve benn trying to think of anything else that may have lived or still lives on earth that it could be..like pinn said way earleir, maybe a giant sloth ? although known for being slow and dumb. I don't want a Yeti either.. no myththical things, unicorns, minataurs etc...

If its another world, it can be ANYTHING. That would leave the most room for story development, "real people" actors on another world...
okay, I'll settle, just do it right.

JacksGirlfriend
10-27-04, 03:18 PM
Moving up for the new people.

JacksGirl